Injury Risk Prediction

Individualised prediction of intrinsic muscle injury risk

| Integrating technology, sports and medicine to drive teams to their highest level

VALITICA’s model identifies underlying risk factors and patterns that precede soft-tissue injuries. Updated with every new data upload, the system provides in a matter of minutes a clear risk score and supporting indicators for each player, helping medical and performance staff act before injuries occur.

| Overview of our Process

1
Data Processing
Import, normalisation and processing of players’ data from different sources available at the Club
2
Analysis
Analysis of all data establishing clusters of variables for the effectiveness of the predictive model
3
Prediction
Our AI-based model provides injury risk prediction for each player towards the next game or training session
4
Notification
Staff is notified when the injury risk index varies for a given player to help them in their decision-making process
5
Tracking
Players’ health and performance status is tracked by the staff at all times

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| Player-specific risk scoring

Each player receives a daily injury risk score supported by objective indicators.

Current probability of intrinsic muscle injury.
Early-warning signals for abnormal spikes.
Breakdown of the most influential risk factors.
Player-specific baseline comparisons.
Trend lines showing risk accumulation over days/weeks.

| Multi-source input model

The model ingests all relevant physiological, mechanical and contextual data available within the club. These inputs are processed collectively to identify subtle patterns that correlate with elevated injury risk.

External load (distance, HSR, accelerations, decelerations).
Internal load (heart rate, exertion metrics).
Injury history and previous recovery cycles.
Mechanical and kinematic indicators.
Biomarkers.
Wellness, RPE, VAS pain scales.
Cumulative load and short-term vs long-term ratios.

| Continuous learning

As the club accumulates high-quality, consistent data across seasons, the model refines accuracy and adapts to each player’s typical patterns and responses.

Player-specific profiling.
Multi-season trend recognition.
Automated identification of atypical responses.
Club-level adaptation to training methodology.

| Operational decision-making

Risk insights translate directly into decisions that medical and performance staff take every day across the training week.

MD-3, MD-2 and MD-1 session planning.
Individual loading adjustments.
Medical evaluation triggers.
RTP pathway support.
Squad availability forecasts.

| Supporting Every Role in Elite Football

Medical Team	Early warning on injury risk so they act before a problem becomes a layoff. A single source of truth for player health, instead of scattered reports and guesswork. Faster, more accurate decisions on return-to-play, backed by objective evidence. Less time lost to admin, more time focused on treatment.
Performance Staff	Clear visibility of individual workloads so they can fine-tune training. Alerts when a player is trending toward overload or underload. A direct link between training choices and performance outcomes. The confidence that every session is optimised, not improvised.
Data / Analysis	Clean, unified, high-quality data they can trust. Models that highlight risk, readiness, and performance patterns without manual crunching. Faster analysis cycles and fewer blind spots. A platform that lets them translate data into real decisions, not just dashboards.
Coach / Technical Staff	Clarity on who is ready to perform and who needs protection. Decisions on selection based on both football insight and objective player readiness. Less uncertainty when managing congested fixtures. A clearer link between tactical demands and player physical capacity.
Club Executives	Reduced injury costs and better protection of player assets. A measurable return on high-value player investments. A cleaner view of squad health across the season. More stability in team performance due to fewer unpredictable absences.
Players	Less risk of preventable injuries. A training plan that fits their body, instead of a one-size-fits-all approach. More trust in the Club’s care for their longevity. Better performance because they train smart, not just hard.

See how it works